Warm and Dry Weather Will Continue into Next Week. Still No Signs of Fall Temperatures

Few changes in the current weather pattern are predicted as we close September and move into October.  Ensemble forecast solutions call for a ridge of high pressure in the middle and upper atmosphere to remain over Texas throughout this week and next week as well. The ridge will continue to cause a very stable atmosphere and limit the development of any rain through at least the middle of next week. A sunny sky is forecast. Meanwhile, the jet stream will remain up near the Canadian border, keeping cool air from sinking to the south.

Daytime temperatures look to stay very summer-like into next week. High temperatures may lower a degree or two this weekend into next week as the center of the high pressure ridge sinks further to the south.

  • High temperatures today through Friday are forecast to be in the mid-90s across Central Texas and the coastal region, and in the upper 80s to low 90s across the Hill Country
  • High temperatures Saturday through late next week are predicted to be in the low to mid-90s across Central Texas and the coastal region regions, with upper 80s continuing across the coastal plain.

Nighttime temperatures across the Hill Country and Central Texas are forecast to remain somewhat comfortable into next week. Lows are predicted to be in the low 60s across the Hill Country, with mid and upper 60s expected across Central Texas. Across the coastal plains, lows are forecast to generally be in the upper 60s to 70 degrees.

Long-range forecast solutions indicate there will be little to no rain falling across our region through the middle of October. However, beginning the around middle of next week, locations south of Interstate 10 could see the development of a few spotty rain showers and thunderstorms as moisture levels increase. No significant totals are forecast. There are still no signs of any strong cold fronts moving through our area through the middle of the month.

Tropical Weather Outlook

Weather conditions are quiet across the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea. Tropical cyclone development is not expected here over the next seven days.

In the western Atlantic, hurricanes Humberto and Imelda continue, but do not pose a threat to the U.S. East Coast.

As of late Tuesday morning, Humberto was centered about 300 miles west of Bermuda. Humberto was moving toward the north-northwest near 18 mph. A turn to the north and north-northeast is expected today, followed by a much faster east-northeast motion on Wednesday and Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Humberto will pass west of, and then north of Bermuda today and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast and Humberto is expected to become a strong extratropical system on Wednesday.

Hurricane Imelda was located about 700 miles west-southwest of Bermuda. Imelda was moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph.  A generally east-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the hurricane should continue to move away from the Bahamas today and will approach Bermuda Wednesday afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

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NOAA/Colorado State university/RAMMB 09-30-25 1:10 pm CDT

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Mark your calendar for next Monday night when the full moon will not only be the Harvest Moon, but it will also be a Supermoon–meaning it will be bigger and brighter than a regular full moon.

Have a great week!

Bob

Additional Weather Resources from the National Weather Service:

https://weather.gov/ewx

https://weather.gov/hgx

https://weather.gov/sjt

National Hurricane Center: https://nhc.noaa.gov