An area of showers and isolated thunderstorms spread east across the region Monday morning into early afternoon. Totals were heaviest across the Hill Country, where amounts were generally between a quarter and a half inch. For areas along and east of Interstate 35, most totals averaged less than a quarter inch. This unfortunately looks to be the last significant rain our region will see for the month of March as generally dry weather is forecast Tuesday through next Sunday. Month to date, totals are running close to an inch below normal across the Hill Country and Central Texas regions, and between 1 and 2 inches above normal across the coastal plains.
Sunny, breezy and mild weather is developing in the wake of Monday morning’s rain. A strong pressure gradient behind the departing system is expected to cause westerly winds with speeds of 15-25 mph and occasional gusts as high as 35 mph. Monday’s temperature is predicted to climb to near 78-80 degrees at most locations.
Cooler weather is on the way! A large trough of low pressure moving east across the Plains states is forecast to push a Canadian cold front south across our region late Monday evening through Monday night. No rain is expected with the front. However, temperatures will trend noticeably cooler overnight and into Tuesday morning. Sunny weather will be in place Tuesday.
- Lows Tuesday morning are forecast to be near 38-40 degrees across the Hill Country, in the mid-40s across Central Texas, and in the low 50s across the coastal plains.
- High temperatures Tuesday are forecast to be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
- Low temperatures Wednesday morning are forecast to generally be in the mid and upper 40s.
There will be a slight chance for a few rain showers and a couple of isolated thunderstorms Wednesday when a weak trough of low pressure swings southeast out of the southern Plains. Relatively dry air at the surface is expected to keep the rainfall spotty and light in nature, with rain amounts averaging less than a tenth of an inch. Most locations are expected to stay dry. Under a partly cloudy sky, the temperature is forecast to warm close to 70 degrees.
Wednesday night into early Thursday morning looks to be the last night of cool temperatures this week. Lows Thursday morning will range from the low 40s across the Hill Country, to the upper 40s near the coast.
Dry and warm weather is forecast Thursday through Sunday as a stable ridge of high pressure slides over Texas out of Mexico. The sky will be sunny Thursday through Friday, with a partly cloudy sky forecast for Saturday and Easter Sunday. Humidity levels look to increase over the weekend, and will make conditions feel somewhat muggy and sticky.
- High temperatures Thursday and Friday are forecast to be around 78-80 degrees.
- High temperatures Saturday and Sunday are predicted to be in the mid-80s.
- Lows are forecast to be in the upper 50s to low 60s.
Next week, a chance for scattered rain showers looks to develop Tuesday into Wednesday as a weak cold front sinks south into Texas out of the Plains. As of now, rain amounts are expected to be low—somewhere around a quarter inch.
Temperatures are forecast to be warm, with a high Monday and Tuesday in mid to upper 80s. Highs Wednesday through Friday are predicted to be in the 70s. Lows next week are forecast to be in the 60s and 50s.
A Very Early Weather Outlook for April 8th
The weather for April 8th is just starting to enter the timeframe of the long-range forecast solutions. Keep in mind, the model solutions this far out are not great for predicting clouds or no clouds—especially with any spring-type weather systems that might be moving into our area. The latest ensemble solutions do point to a somewhat unsettled weather pattern across Central Texas around April 8th as a broad trough of low pressure develops across the southwestern U.S. This could possibly mean a fair amount of clouds.
Again, this is a very early forecast and it could very well change in the coming days as the forecast solutions get a better handle on the weather pattern for that time period. I will provide additional updates over the next two weeks.
Bob
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