What an amazing weekend of weather across Central Texas! It doesn’t get much better than that. Cool air moving in behind Friday’s cold front produced nighttime readings in the 40s and 50s and daytime temperatures in the 70s. According to LCRA’s Hydromet, upper 40s were observed as far south as the Interstate 10 corridor early Monday morning. Monday’s lowest observed temperature was 41 degrees, recorded at a couple of locations in northern Travis county, Central Hays county and eastern McCulloch county.
Weather conditions are currently dry and quiet across the state thanks to a stable ridge of high pressure in the middle and upper atmosphere. Monday’s weather maps showed the large dome of Canadian high pressure responsible for our recent cool temperatures has shifted from Texas to the Tennessee Valley. This change has caused surface winds to shift from northerly to southerly across the entire the state. These southerly breezes, originating off the Gulf of Mexico, will cause slightly warmer and more humid weather conditions for the balance of the week. No rain is expected this week. A weak cold font is forecast to sag south into Central Texas Thursday and pull up stationary. The front may cause a few spotty showers across parts of North Texas, but no rain is expected across the Hill Country and Central Texas.
For this afternoon through Wednesday, expect a mostly sunny sky as scattered high clouds spread over the area.
- High temperatures this afternoon are forecast to be in the mid and upper 70s, warming to the low 80s Tuesday and the mid-80s Wednesday.
- Low temperatures Tuesday morning are forecast to be in the mid and upper 50s, warming to the lower 60s Wednesday and Thursday mornings.
For Thursday through Sunday, no significant changes are expected. A more pronounced flow off the Gulf of Mexico is predicted to develop during this period, causing higher relative humidity levels and a widespread coverage of late night and morning clouds. A spotty, brief rain shower or two will be possible for areas along and east of Interstate 35 this weekend, but no significant rain is forecast. Expect a pattern of late night clouds and mostly sunny afternoons through the period.
- Daily high temperatures are forecast to be in the mid to upper 80s.
- Low temperatures will generally be in the low and mid-60s.
Looking ahead to next week, forecasts call for few changes in the weather through the first half of the week as our region remains under a moist flow off the Gulf. Expect a partly cloudy and dry pattern, with daily high temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Low temperatures will be warmer—around 68-70 degrees.
Forecasts call for a weak Canadian cold front to push through the area sometime late Wednesday or early Thursday. There will be a slight chance for rain along the front, followed by mostly sunny and slightly cooler weather late week into the following weekend. High temperatures are predicted to fall to around 80 degrees, with low temperatures in the 50s.
No significant rain is forecast across the region over the next two-week period.
Tropical Weather Outlook
Weather conditions are currently quiet across the tropical Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico. There are no systems in place which pose a threat for tropical development over the next five days.
In the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, National Hurricane Center forecasters are calling for a broad area of low pressure to form over the area a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico over the next few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support some development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward near or just south of the coast of southern Mexico. NHC forecasters are giving this system a medium chance, (a 40 percent chance), for tropical development over the next 5 days.
The October Full “Hunter” Moon
October’s full moon will occur Wednesday morning at 9:57 am CDT. It will appear big and full Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday nights. The October Full Moon is traditionally called the Hunter’s Moon. This name is derived from Native Americans who noted the month of October was the time to start preparing for the coming winter by hunting or slaughtering animals and preserving meat.
Have a good week.
Bob
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